PolyPOP

PolyPOP is a social-native prediction market protocol. Instead of forcing users to visit a dashboard, create a market from scratch, and wait for liquidity, PolyPOP starts from where prediction demand already exists: conversations on social platforms. If two people disagree on an outcome, they can turn that claim into an onchain market in seconds.

Our core use case is simple: a user posts a prediction on X, tags PolyPOP, and the protocol creates a market that others can join from the social flow. This makes prediction markets more native, lightweight, and viral. We are focused on short-duration, high-context markets around crypto prices, narratives, and real-world events, with transparent rules, onchain settlement, and simple participation using USDC.

PolyPOP is built as a social-to-onchain prediction flow. Our backend detects structured claims from social posts, extracts the asset, direction, duration, and stake, and converts them into deterministic market parameters. Those parameters are passed into our smart contracts, which handle market creation, participation, pool accounting, and settlement. On the frontend, we designed a lightweight social-native interface so users can move from a post to a live market without needing a traditional prediction market dashboard.

At the infrastructure layer, Arc is used as the stablecoin-native capital and settlement rail. We use USDC as the core asset for market entry and payout, and position Arc as both the execution environment for prediction-market logic and a liquidity hub for chain-abstracted capital movement. This lets PolyPOP frame prediction markets not just as speculative products, but as stablecoin-native financial primitives with more predictable settlement, cleaner payment flows, and easier extension into real-world signal markets.

For trade execution, we integrated the Uniswap Trading API as a core part of the participation flow. It is used to generate quotes, prepare routes, and support transaction construction, allowing PolyPOP to plug into real onchain liquidity instead of relying on a closed internal execution path. This makes market participation more composable and aligns the protocol with existing onchain trading infrastructure.

For orchestration and resolution, we integrated Chainlink CRE workflows to manage market lifecycle events and trigger the onchain state changes required for settlement. We also designed the workflow around privacy-preserving external requests, using Chainlink’s privacy-oriented capabilities for secure API access, protected credentials, and offchain handling of sensitive request or response logic. This is especially important for real-world signal markets, where external data checks may be necessary but parts of the workflow should not be exposed publicly.

The most notable hack is the system design itself: PolyPOP turns a lightweight social action into a full market stack. A post becomes structured market logic, Arc provides the stablecoin-native settlement foundation, Uniswap provides execution infrastructure, and Chainlink provides programmable and privacy-aware resolution. The result is a prediction market flow that is social-native on the surface, but financially and technically composable underneath.